Dusan Obradovic vs Lorenzo Gagliardo Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Obradovic's recent performance shows a 42.36% success rate on second serve points, while Gagliardo slightly outperforms with 44.41%. Is Gagliardo's modest edge here significant for overall success? Yes, it could play a role in determining the outcome.
• Return Game Strength: Obradovic excels in returning opponents' second serves, winning 49.4% of points compared to Gagliardo's 41.59%. In first serve returns, Obradovic again leads with 35.1% over Gagliardo's 29.67%. Could this return strength give Obradovic an advantage? It certainly leans in their favor.
• Pressure Handling: Although Obradovic saves 44.23% of breakpoints, Gagliardo is stronger here with a 54.61% save rate. Does handling pressure better translate to more match wins? It increases chances in tense situations.
• Overall Win Rate: Over the past year, Obradovic has won 52.83% of matches, whereas Gagliardo boasts a higher win rate at 70.97%. Does this suggest Gagliardo is in better form overall? Indeed, Gagliardo's consistency is noteworthy.
• Best Surface: Clay is the favored surface for both players, with Gagliardo holding a slight edge of 60% win rate over Obradovic's 57%. Which surface are they less successful on? Hard courts, where both have relatively low success.
• Playing Level: Obradovic has predominantly competed in lower-tier $10K tournaments, winning 56% of matches, while Gagliardo has a superior 70.97% win rate in similar events. Does this suggest a gap in competition quality? Yes, Gagliardo has performed better against comparable opposition.
• Opponent Quality: Obradovic contends with players ranked about 279.11 on average, while Gagliardo faces slightly tougher opponents at an average rank of 230.81. Does facing stronger opponents test a player's skill more? It can build resilience and strategic depth.
• Deciding Sets: In deciding sets, Obradovic secures wins 57% of the time, outperforming Gagliardo's 40%. Could this indicate stronger mental endurance? It suggests Obradovic's ability to close tight matches.
• Break Point Conversion: Obradovic converts 37.65% of break points, while Gagliardo converts 44%. Is efficiency in these crucial situations decisive? Yes, it often determines match momentum shifts.

Editorial Prediction (August 7, 2025, UTC):

As the upcoming match approaches, both Obradovic and Gagliardo exhibit distinct strengths and weaknesses that could influence the outcome.

Gagliardo holds a slight advantage in second serve success and overall match win percentage, suggesting consistent performance over the past year. However, Obradovic showcases a robust return game, particularly on second serves, which could be pivotal in gaining an edge during rallies.

Despite Gagliardo's superior break point conversion, Obradovic demonstrates greater resilience in deciding sets, emphasizing mental toughness under pressure. This contrasts with Gagliardo's stronger breakpoint defense.

Considering these factors, Gagliardo's recent overall match success rate and competitive play against slightly higher-ranked opponents position them as the likely favorite to win this match. However, Obradovic's strengths should not be underestimated, especially if it comes down to critical game-deciding moments.